Theatrical tragedy is often based on a fatal character flaw, a flaw that leads to the downfall of the putative hero. The Republican Presidential primary may provide a classic example of that scenario.
The ego of those running for President of the United States may be described as healthy at best. At worse, it is an all consuming desire based on the candidates high estimation of their own capabilities. This ego leads to self-destructive behavior responsible for the downfall of many a candidate.
Ted Cruz is exhibiting this classic myopia. Blinded by his own self-regard, he is campaigning hard in Florida, and, in the process, he will split the vote with Marco Rubio and deliver a huge winner-take-all bonanza to Donald Trump. Moreover, if Rubio drops out because he lost his own home state, there will be no contested convention, and Mr. Trump will get the nomination.
Ted Cruz’s chances would be improved if he only make a token effort in Florida and Ohio, leaving those states to their favorite sons, Rubio and Kasich. Thus, by denying the states to Trump, Mr. Cruz would be more likely to win. But he seems unable to believe he cannot win the state.
On the other hand, some say that a contested convention would never give the nomination to Ted Cruz because he is a reviled figure among the establishment. So, the theory goes, he has nothing to lose by contesting Florida in case lightning strikes and he does win it. But even then, there are many other states to focus on besides Florida, and Mr. Rubio does not pose any threat to Mr. Cruz. By being in a solid second place, Mr. Cruz is best positioned to win a contested convention.
But Mr. Cruz has opened more than 10 offices in Florida, a waste of resources as well as strategy.